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What do you want to accomplish in Washington?

The answer to this question will guide all stages of our work for you. Our bipartisan lobbying team connects public and private institutions with policymakers at the highest levels of government, including the U.S. Congress, the White House, and federal agencies. We build comprehensive lobbying strategies aligned with your organization’s objectives and values and have decades of experience in consistently delivering successful outcomes.

 

Services

We know the paths to success and can help you navigate pitfalls along the way. We pride ourselves on being deliberate yet nimble. The rapid pace of change in today's regulatory and political environment demands continuous situational awareness and the capacity to adjust at a moment's notice.

Advocacy

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Whether you want to influence legislation, modify regulations, or retain what’s working well, we can help you navigate the volatile D.C. landscape and lead you to success.

Our firm is bipartisan, and we can connect your organization with key policymakers so you can develop meaningful relationships inside and outside government. Our team has deep experience in understanding the complex public policy that governs our given industries. We coordinate Congressional lobbying days, industry events, seminars, and briefings that position your organization in front of your target audience. Should your organization encounter heightened scrutiny from an agency of the Executive Branch or find yourself in the glare of a Congressional investigation, we can help you successfully traverse the process. 

Analysis

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Stay up-to-speed on the political issues and activities that may affect your priorities and your strategy with our customized systems for research, due diligence, and legislative tracking.

Knowledge is power. This maxim is particularly true in Washington, where policy and political changes can instantly upend an organization's long-term goals. It is critical that you have up-to-the-minute knowledge on policy trends in Washington and the capacity to distinguish between activity and action. Our customized research systems not only help you respond more effectively to pending Congressional or regulatory actions but also flag possible risks, analyze challenges, and uncover new opportunities. From ongoing, client-specific bill tracking to legislative and regulatory due diligence on an investment or transaction, our analysis can play a critical role in informing your decision-making and navigating the pathway to success.

Coalitions

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Amplify your message by linking your priorities to those of other entities. Our blended coalitions incorporate thought leaders and potential supporters from both obvious and unexpected places.

To be truly heard, your message does not need to be louder — it must be stronger. We serve as your connector to partners, pinpointing the most effective allies, securing their support, and following through with a plan for a unified front that can take your initiative to the next level. These partners could include associations, individuals, philanthropies, researchers, think tanks, government agencies, investors, NGOs, and other coalitions and can often come from unexpected places. We think creatively about building coalitions, and by linking your priorities to those of other entities, your message can be strengthened and your reach extended.

Messaging

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In the noisy political din of Washington, a clear, compelling message speaks volumes. We craft your message so it resonates with policymakers and speaks their language.

Consistency is key. Through whatever channels we push your message, it will stay consistent, track closely with your ultimate goal, and most importantly, ring true for the players you are targeting. Depending on the exact need and utilizing the full legal and policy resources across our firm, we can develop draft legislation and amendments, highly effective position papers, report language, testimony, congressional correspondence, and regulatory comments. We work with a talented team of in-house graphic designers, copy editors, and printers to produce sophisticated, eye-catching publications, leave-behinds, digital documents, and videos.

Strategy

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Our comprehensive government relations and public policy plans are client-specific and highly-focused.

We serve not just as your guide to Washington but as your strategic partner. We build our strategic plans around the values of our clients, and those values are reflected in every step of our political initiatives. Our bipartisan team can custom-tailor an approach that refines your message, targets key decisionmakers, identifies potential allies, and proactively plans for opposition. Your strategic plan could include the identification and management of PAC proposals, the development of a targeted public relations campaign, or recommendations about which boards, associations, or philanthropic causes can best support your goals.

Related Services

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BallotBoard: BallotBoard for period ending January 21, 2022

This weekly roundup of election news and notes is compiled for Thompson Coburn by the The Ellis Insight

Senate

 

New Hampshire:  Polling without Gov. Chris Sununu (R) as a potential Republican US Senate candidate, The New Hampshire Institute for Politics at St. Anselm’s College released their latest statewide survey (1/11-12; 1,215 NH registered voters; online).  While the pollsters found the respondent sample in a state of general unhappiness with regard to New Hampshire’s political figures and direction of the country, Sen. Maggie Hassan (D) is improving her ballot test numbers against potential Republican opponents even though her favorability index is down.

Retired Army General and 2020 US Senate candidate Don Bolduc fares best among the tested Republicans, trailing Sen. Hassan, 43-36%.  She tops recent Senate campaign entries Chuck Morse, the Granite State Senate President, 41-27%, and former Londonderry Town Manager Kevin Smith, 42-24%.  On the negative side, she is six points in the red (45:51%) on her favorability ratio, and nowhere close to majority support on any ballot test scenario.

Ohio:  Businessman Bernie Moreno (R) released his internal poll, following the lead of some of his GOP nomination opponents, and the results again suggest that winning the intra-party contest is turning into a free-for-all.  An internal survey that Kellyanne Conway conducted for the Moreno campaign (1/11-13; 600 OH likely Republican primary voters; live interview) finds former state Treasurer Josh Mandel (R) again holding the lead, but with a tightening margin over former Ohio Republican Party chair Jane Timken, 20-18%.  Mr. Moreno, after spending $4 million in advertising media, moved into a third place tie with businessman Mike Gibbons and author J.D. Vance, with each commanding approximately 10% support.  


House



CA-9:  Eight-term California Democratic US Rep. Jerry McNerney (D-Stockton) announced this week that he will not seek a ninth term later this year.  Originally elected to a Bay Area anchored district in 2006 when he defeated veteran Rep. Richard Pombo (R), Mr. McNerney’s then-11th District was moved into the San Joaquin Valley because of 2011 redistricting.  The new 9th District will still be anchored in the city of Stockton, but the updated version is somewhat more Republican than the current CA-9.  The Congressman would have been favored for re-election.

CA-13:  Immediately upon California Rep. Jerry McNerney (D-Stockton) announcing his retirement, the political musical chairs began. Fellow NorCal Rep. Josh Harder (D-Turlock) abandoned his re-election plans in District 13 to run in the newly open 9th CD.  Once Harder made his move, state Assemblyman Adam Gray (D-Merced) quickly announced that he will run for Congress in the suddenly open 13th.  

California's Central Valley is in a state of political flux.  With the special election for resigned Rep. Devin Nunes’ (R-Tulare) underway in the neighboring current 22nd District and the candidates having no place to run in the regular election, the 13th District could now become an attractive landing spot for one or more of the GOP special election contenders.  A Republican will be an underdog in the new 13th, but at least the candidate would have a fighting chance to win a full term and the opportunity of seeking re-election if successful.

MD-4:  Former Congresswoman Donna Edwards (D), who gave up her 4th District congressional seat to challenge then-Rep. Chris Van Hollen (D) for the state’s open Senate seat six years ago when then-Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D) retired, announced that she is making a comeback.  Current 4th District Rep. Anthony Brown (D-Bowie) is leaving the House to run for state Attorney General, thus the 4th District becomes open.  Ms. Edwards will make an attempt to re-claim her previous position.  Her main opponent in a crowded open Democratic primary appears to be former Prince George’s County State’s Attorney Glenn Ivey.  The seat will remain Democratic in the general election.  The Maryland candidate filing deadline is February 22nd for the June 28th statewide primary.

MI-8:  Bill Schuette, the former Congressman, Michigan Appellate Court Judge, Attorney General, and US Senate and gubernatorial nominee who Republican leaders hoped would challenge US Rep. Dan Kildee (D-Flushing/Flint), said that he will not run for Congress this year.  The new 8th CD was made slightly more Republican in redistricting, but Rep. Kildee would have been cast as the favorite even against Mr. Schuette.  

Paul Junge, the former US Citizens & Immigration Service official and ex-television news anchor who held Rep. Kildee to a 54-42% re-election victory in 2020, remains in the race.  With the district becoming more Republican, Mr. Junge’s chances will improve but he remains a clear underdog to the five-term incumbent.

MI-12:  Former state Representative Shanelle Jackson announced that she will launch a Democratic primary challenge to controversial US Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-Detroit).  Ms. Jackson describes herself as a “pro-business centrist” who says she wants to “calm down some of the antisemitic rhetoric.”  She further said that “she (Tlaib) obviously is carrying the water of Palestine in all that she does.  Meanwhile, Detroiters, we don’t have a voice.  It’s just the truth.”  

Ms. Jackson served three terms in the state House of Representatives.  Rep. Tlaib, who currently represents the 13th District, chose to run in the new 12th after Rep. Brenda Lawrence (D-Southfield) announced her retirement.  Rep. Tlaib said more of her constituents reside in the new 12th than the new 13th.  The redistricted version of MI-12 is safely Democratic, so the winner of the party primary is virtually guaranteed victory in November.

NE-1:  State Senator Mike Flood (R-Norfolk), a former Speaker of the unicameral legislature and local news television network owner, announced yesterday that he will challenge indicted Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R-Lincoln) for the 2022 Republican nomination.  In October, Fortenberry was charged with concealing information and making false statements to federal authorities who were investigating illegal contributions made by a foreign national to the Congressman’s 2016 re-election campaign, according to the US Attorney in the Central District of California.  

The new 1st District is reliably Republican, but became a bit more Democratic when the legislature added some of its GOP voters to the neighboring 2nd District to make the latter seat stronger for Rep. Don Bacon (R-Papillion/Omaha).  Democratic state Sen. Patty Pansing Brooks (D-Lincoln) appears to be a consensus Democratic candidate.  The Nebraska candidate filing deadline is March 1st for the May 10th statewide primary.

NY-24:  Citing family issues, four-term New York Rep. John Katko (R-Syracuse) announced that he will not seek re-election this year.  In addition to his family situation, Rep. Katko was arguably in the worst redistricting position of any New York incumbent and was likely staring at a paired situation with another GOP incumbent.  Additionally, he was facing political pressure from his ideological right because he was one of ten Republicans who had voted to impeach former President Trump, which would cause him problems in a Republican primary. 

Ohio Redistricting:  As they did earlier with their state’s House and Senate maps, the Ohio State Supreme Court, on a 4-3 vote, invalidated the legislature’s congressional map, sending the re-mapping process back to square one.  Therefore, previous analyses of the voided map’s competitiveness factor are now irrelevant.  The elected official redistricting commission will re-draw all the maps and again submit to the legislature for approval.  The Ohio candidate filing deadline is February 2nd for the May 3rd primary, so the legislature’s time frame is short.

RI-2:  Saying he’s been “burning the candle at both ends and needs a change,” 11-term Rhode Island US Rep. Jim Langevin (D-Warwick) announced that he will not seek re-election later this year.  For a long while, it appeared that Rhode Island would lose a congressional seat and revert to at-large status.  Instead of running against fellow Democratic Rep. David Cicilline (D-Providence), Mr. Langevin indicated that he would consider a bid for Governor.  When reapportionment did not take Rhode Island’s 2nd District, it appeared that the Congressman would again have an easy run for re-election.  

Mr. Langevin becomes the 28th House Democrat not to seek re-election, and RI-2 will now be the 49th open seat for the regular election.  The open seat number includes incumbents not seeking re-election, new districts through reapportionment, and created seats from various redistricting plans.  Democrats will hold this Ocean State congressional seat, but we can expect a competitive party primary late in the year. 

VA-7:  Former Virginia State Delegate Jennifer Carroll Foy (D-Woodbridge), who lost to ex-Governor Terry McAuliffe in the 2021 Democratic gubernatorial primary, yesterday said she will not continue her campaign for the US House in the re-drawn 7th District.  Incumbent Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-Glen Allen) benefited from the state Supreme Court’s redraw of the special masters’ draft to the point that at least some of the Congresswoman’s constituency lies in the new 7th District.  Instead, Ms. Foy says she will run for the state Senate in 2023.  


Governor

 

Arizona:  Citing poor fundraising results, Arizona State Treasurer Kimberly Yee (R) announced that she will discontinue her Governor’s campaign and instead file for re-election to her current position.  With Ms. Yee departing, 20 announced Republican candidates remain in the race to succeed term-limited GOP Gov. Doug Ducey.  

Former President Donald Trump has endorsed ex-television news anchor Kari Lake in the Republican primary.  Ex-Congressman and 2002 gubernatorial nominee Matt Salmon is the only former elected official within the large group.  Secretary of State Katie Hobbs appears to be the leading Democratic candidate.  The Arizona candidate filing deadline is April 4th for the August 2nd statewide primary.  Therefore, time remains for the large field to settle.

Connecticut:  Financial company executive Bob Stefanowski (R), who held Gov. Ned Lamont (D) to a 49-46% win in their 2018 open race contest, announced yesterday that he will return for a re-match this year.  He also said he was seeding his statewide campaign with a $10 million personal investment.  Gov. Lamont will be favored, but we could again see a close race here if a Republican wave begins to develop.

New York:  Former New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio (D), who left office at the beginning of this year after serving two four-year terms, announced that he will not enter the crowded Democratic field for Governor.  Early polling showed Mr. de Blasio faring poorly against new incumbent Kathy Hochul, NYC Public Advocate Jumaane Williams, and US Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-Glen Cove). 

Fundraising Giants:  As year-end campaign financial reports begin becoming public, two sitting Governor’s are reporting major totals.  Florida Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis reported raising $4.4 million in the month of December and holds a whopping $72 million in his campaign accounts.  In New York, new Gov. Kathy Hochul (D), since taking office in late August, has raised a huge $21.6 million for her 2022 campaign, and with $21 million in the bank.


States



North Carolina:  The original North Carolina primary was scheduled for March 8th, but this week the state legislature took action to transfer the election date for a second time.  Due to ongoing redistricting litigation, the state Supreme Court moved the primary to May 17th.  The legislative leaders, however, believing that the litigation process will drag on and possibly even to include recusal motions against three of the seven state Supreme Court justices, will move the primary again, this time to June 7th.
 
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Government Accountability Office

The Government Accountability Office (GAO) is an independent, non-partisan agency that works for Congress and is accordingly part of the Legislative Branch. Congress created the GAO in 1921 under the Budget and Accounting Act to oversee government spending. The agency’s responsibilities grew after World War II as government programs expanded.